Round 19 · simulation 12 · cycle-002.e4-nga

Round 2015

Round 19 of 30 in simulation 12 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 9 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.193 to 7.67.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2015 (the end of 2014) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.67 (−0.192)
In: 7.86
Rank by index
72
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 27
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.673.51−0.16210
Strategic Infrastructure9.609.58−0.0275
National Security6.416.42+0.0046
Human Capital8.088.03−0.04812
Information & Influence9.889.82−0.0557
Governance & Integrity9.068.94−0.11713
Financial Strength9.018.45−0.55516 → 17
Production & Innovation7.356.97−0.37715
Trade & Investment7.697.29−0.39812

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2015: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 188, plus 27 carried in. Maintenance 139. Spent 76 on actions (build 76). 0 carried over. 1 action could not be paid for.

  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure9 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure9 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy9 credits for 0.51 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure9 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFoundational Education9 credits for 0.60 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildForce Generation & Mobilisation9 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInternal Security & Order9 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption9 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −15.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 16 to 17.

The groups that moved most in 2015, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.710.000.00−0.72+0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−0.660.000.00−0.660.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.630.000.00−0.630.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.610.000.00−0.63+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity−0.600.000.00−0.590.00
Labour & Employment−0.590.000.00−0.60+0.01