Round 27 · simulation 16 · cycle-002.e4-per

Round 2023

Round 27 of 30 in simulation 16 of Peru, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.277 to 6.35.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2023 (the end of 2022) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.35 (−0.277)
In: 6.62
Rank by index
92
In: 89
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
268
In: 234
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.592.55−0.03411
Strategic Infrastructure8.948.52−0.4244
National Security6.215.99−0.2217
Human Capital8.047.82−0.21913
Information & Influence5.865.67−0.19411 → 12
Governance & Integrity7.827.66−0.15913 → 14
Financial Strength7.196.85−0.34022
Production & Innovation5.635.21−0.41418
Trade & Investment7.346.85−0.4857

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2023: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 164, plus 234 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 16 on actions (build 16). 268 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure3 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure3 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance3 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure3 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −20.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 11 to 12; Governance & Integrity Tier 13 to 14.

The groups that moved most in 2023, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.840.000.00−0.82−0.02
Financial System Depth & Access−0.720.000.00−0.720.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.720.000.00−0.69−0.03
Energy Infrastructure−0.720.000.00−0.67−0.05
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.700.000.00−0.66−0.05
Transport Infrastructure−0.620.000.00−0.58−0.04