Round 21 · simulation 3 · cycle-002.e4-qat

Round 2017

Round 21 of 30 in simulation 3 of Qatar, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.126 to 10.16.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2017 (the end of 2016) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.16 (−0.127)
In: 10.29
Rank by index
45
In: 45
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.013.81−0.2069
Strategic Infrastructure13.4113.45+0.0402 → 1
National Security6.466.38−0.0817
Human Capital12.0011.98−0.0182
Information & Influence11.2511.10−0.1543
Governance & Integrity10.8910.80−0.0914
Financial Strength12.9112.73−0.1795
Production & Innovation10.099.93−0.1667 → 8
Trade & Investment11.5811.30−0.2807

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2017: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 261. Maintenance 219. Spent 42 on actions (build 42). 0 carried over. 6 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure13 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure13 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure13 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure3 credits for 0.07 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −31.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2017, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Transport Infrastructure+0.43+0.500.00−0.07−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.370.000.00−0.370.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.370.000.00−0.370.00
Global Value Chain Position−0.370.000.00−0.370.00
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.360.000.00−0.360.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing−0.350.000.00−0.36+0.01