Round 2019
Round 23 of 30 in simulation 15 of Saudi Arabia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.210 to 10.82.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 10.82 (−0.210)
- In: 11.03
- Rank by index
- 36
- In: 35
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 53
- In: 63
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 5.33 | 5.09 | −0.240 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.88 | 13.42 | −0.461 | 2 |
| National Security | 10.59 | 10.08 | −0.510 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 12.18 | 12.21 | +0.022 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.92 | 11.36 | −0.565 | 5 → 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.47 | 8.14 | −0.330 | 11 → 12 |
| Financial Strength | 13.62 | 13.74 | +0.126 | 4 → 3 |
| Production & Innovation | 9.74 | 9.67 | −0.074 | 9 → 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.54 | 13.68 | +0.142 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2019: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 408, plus 63 carried in. Maintenance 318. Spent 101 on actions (partner 101). 53 carried over.
- PartnerIndustrial & Sectoral Base20 credits for 0.86 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerSovereign Capital & External Financial Power20 credits for 0.77 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.28 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade20 credits for 1.28 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation20 credits for 0.64 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −22.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 11 to 12; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 9 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital & Services Trade | +1.09 | +1.34 | 0.00 | −0.26 | +0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.07 | +1.34 | 0.00 | −0.26 | −0.01 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.95 | −0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.91 | −0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.89 | −0.01 |