Round 24 · simulation 15 · cycle-002.e4-sau

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 15 of Saudi Arabia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 10 actions, Severe pandemic and Global funding seizure, and the index −0.307 to 10.52.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.52 (−0.307)
In: 10.82
Rank by index
42
In: 36
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 2
Credits carried
22
In: 50
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.094.67−0.4298
Strategic Infrastructure13.4213.21−0.2092
National Security10.089.97−0.1062
Human Capital12.2111.91−0.2991
Information & Influence11.3610.92−0.4336
Governance & Integrity8.147.86−0.28712 → 14
Financial Strength13.7413.31−0.4303 → 4
Production & Innovation9.679.31−0.3546
Trade & Investment13.6813.47−0.2161 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 409, plus 50 carried in. Maintenance 295. Spent 143 on actions (build 41, partner 102). 22 carried over.

  • PartnerIndustrial & Sectoral Base20 credits for 0.83 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerSovereign Capital & External Financial Power20 credits for 0.73 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.21 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade20 credits for 1.20 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation20 credits for 0.64 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability8 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration8 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health8 credits for 0.42 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −21.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −5.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 12 to 14; Financial Strength Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.920.000.00−0.89−0.03
Labour & Employment−0.900.000.00−0.89−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.750.000.00−0.74−0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.71+1.240.00−0.54+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.70+0.060.00−0.72−0.04
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.670.000.00−0.74+0.07