Round 18 · simulation 23 · cycle-002.e4-ukr

Round 2014

Round 18 of 30 in simulation 23 of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and Legitimacy rupture and Global funding seizure, and the index −1.113 to 7.99.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2014 (the end of 2013) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.99 (−1.113)
In: 9.11
Rank by index
68
In: 56
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
274
In: 304
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.527.81−0.7135
Strategic Infrastructure11.7510.75−0.9984
National Security9.838.73−1.0974 → 5
Human Capital11.6111.15−0.4605 → 6
Information & Influence7.416.41−0.9949 → 11
Governance & Integrity8.677.77−0.90313 → 15
Financial Strength6.994.99−2.00021 → 28
Production & Innovation8.377.12−1.25512 → 13
Trade & Investment8.817.22−1.59710 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2014: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 247, plus 304 carried in. Maintenance 216. Spent 62 on actions (partner 62). 274 carried over.

  • PartnerLand Power12 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation12 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerIntelligence & Assessment12 credits for 0.80 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption12 credits for 0.63 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration12 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −32.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −22.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −22.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 4 to 5; Human Capital Tier 5 to 6; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 11; Governance & Integrity Tier 13 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 21 to 28; Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 13; Trade & Investment Tier 10 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2014, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−2.650.000.00−2.650.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−2.200.000.00−2.200.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−2.140.000.00−2.140.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.930.000.00−1.940.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.930.000.00−1.930.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−1.910.000.00−1.910.00