Round 24 · simulation 23 · cycle-002.e4-ukr

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 23 of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.564 to 7.38.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.38 (−0.565)
In: 7.95
Rank by index
75
In: 69
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.676.99−0.6856
Strategic Infrastructure10.4210.10−0.3224
National Security9.128.81−0.3165
Human Capital11.0310.51−0.5267
Information & Influence6.305.58−0.71712
Governance & Integrity8.157.76−0.39013
Financial Strength4.854.16−0.68528 → 32
Production & Innovation6.946.27−0.66513 → 15
Trade & Investment7.036.25−0.77311 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 161. Maintenance 161 of the 182 needed, so 12 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.

  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −37.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 28 to 32; Production & Innovation Tier 13 to 15; Trade & Investment Tier 11 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.350.00−0.03−1.320.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.200.00−0.03−1.16−0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.200.00−0.06−1.13−0.01
Labour & Employment−1.140.00−0.02−1.11−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.100.00−0.01−1.09+0.01
Health System Capability−0.810.00−0.02−0.74−0.05