Round 2022
Round 26 of 30 in simulation 23 of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Regional war spillover and Breadbasket failure and Hybrid coercion and Debt service reset and Market access opening, and the index −1.860 to 5.46.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.46 (−1.859)
- In: 7.32
- Rank by index
- 111
- In: 76
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.89 | 5.59 | −1.298 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.04 | 7.50 | −2.541 | 4 → 6 |
| National Security | 8.71 | 6.17 | −2.544 | 5 → 6 |
| Human Capital | 10.45 | 9.76 | −0.683 | 7 → 9 |
| Information & Influence | 5.53 | 3.56 | −1.967 | 12 → 16 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.73 | 6.25 | −1.486 | 13 → 17 |
| Financial Strength | 4.11 | 2.28 | −1.834 | 32 → 42 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.20 | 4.38 | −1.828 | 15 → 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.18 | 3.62 | −2.556 | 12 → 15 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 129. Maintenance 129 of the 163 needed, so 21 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −74.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −24.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −34.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +3.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +2.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 4 to 6; National Security Tier 5 to 6; Human Capital Tier 7 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 12 to 16; Governance & Integrity Tier 13 to 17; Financial Strength Tier 32 to 42; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 17; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritime Power | −4.17 | 0.00 | −0.05 | −4.11 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −4.11 | 0.00 | −0.06 | −4.03 | −0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −3.89 | 0.00 | −0.04 | −3.84 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −3.53 | 0.00 | −0.04 | −3.43 | −0.05 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −3.33 | 0.00 | −0.09 | −3.21 | −0.03 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −3.20 | 0.00 | −0.12 | −3.08 | −0.01 |