Round 2026
Round 30 of 30 in simulation 23 of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, and the index −0.128 to 4.93.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 4.93 (−0.127)
- In: 5.06
- Rank by index
- 120
- In: 117
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.94 | 4.73 | −0.204 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.96 | 6.76 | −0.195 | 6 |
| National Security | 5.47 | 5.24 | −0.234 | 6 → 7 |
| Human Capital | 9.43 | 9.30 | −0.137 | 9 → 10 |
| Information & Influence | 3.27 | 3.17 | −0.092 | 16 |
| Governance & Integrity | 6.14 | 6.09 | −0.047 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 2.11 | 2.09 | −0.023 | 42 |
| Production & Innovation | 3.96 | 3.84 | −0.116 | 18 |
| Trade & Investment | 3.23 | 3.13 | −0.102 | 16 → 17 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 41. Maintenance 41 of the 95 needed, so 56 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.
Earlier events still landing: +0.6 points this round.
Tiers. National Security Tier 6 to 7; Human Capital Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 16 to 17.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −0.44 | 0.00 | −0.24 | 0.00 | −0.20 |
| Space Technologies | −0.44 | 0.00 | −0.39 | 0.00 | −0.04 |
| Land Power | −0.40 | 0.00 | −0.27 | 0.00 | −0.13 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.29 | 0.00 | −0.24 | 0.00 | −0.05 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | −0.27 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.11 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −0.25 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 | −0.05 |