Round 17 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-zaf

Round 2013

Round 17 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.026 to 12.11.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2013 (the end of 2012) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.11 (+0.026)
In: 12.08
Rank by index
28
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
776
In: 708
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.777.77+0.0047
Strategic Infrastructure14.4314.44+0.0152
National Security9.379.36−0.0064
Human Capital11.5211.54+0.0126
Information & Influence11.6811.68−0.0035
Governance & Integrity12.7512.750.0008
Financial Strength15.5715.57+0.0042
Production & Innovation12.2212.27+0.0432 → 1
Trade & Investment13.4413.61+0.1643

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2013: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 403, plus 708 carried in. Maintenance 304. Spent 32 on actions (build 32). 776 carried over.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base8 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildExport Capability & Sophistication8 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Manufacturing8 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics8 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2013, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.56+0.510.000.00+0.06
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.53+0.460.000.00+0.07
Advanced Manufacturing+0.29+0.270.000.00+0.02
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.20+0.170.000.00+0.03
Digital & AI Competence+0.050.000.000.00+0.05
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.040.000.000.00+0.04