Round 18 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-zaf

Round 2014

Round 18 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.027 to 12.14.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2014 (the end of 2013) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.14 (+0.027)
In: 12.11
Rank by index
28
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
802
In: 737
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.777.78+0.0057
Strategic Infrastructure14.4414.47+0.0282
National Security9.369.36−0.0014
Human Capital11.5411.55+0.0106
Information & Influence11.6811.68−0.0025
Governance & Integrity12.7512.75+0.0018
Financial Strength15.5715.58+0.0042
Production & Innovation12.2712.31+0.0391
Trade & Investment13.6113.76+0.1553

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2014: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 404, plus 737 carried in. Maintenance 306. Spent 32 on actions (build 32). 802 carried over.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base8 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildExport Capability & Sophistication8 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Manufacturing8 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics8 credits for 0.44 levelsscripted_history
The groups that moved most in 2014, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.54+0.490.000.00+0.04
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.50+0.440.000.00+0.06
Advanced Manufacturing+0.29+0.270.000.00+0.03
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.19+0.150.000.00+0.04
Digital & AI Competence+0.050.000.000.00+0.05
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.040.000.000.00+0.04