Round 4 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-zwe

Round 2000

Round 4 of 30 in simulation 2 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.095 to 6.42.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2000 (the end of 1999) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.42 (−0.095)
In: 6.52
Rank by index
91
In: 91
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.932.79−0.14112
Strategic Infrastructure8.498.43−0.0598 → 7
National Security5.005.01+0.0138
Human Capital8.788.75−0.03712
Information & Influence6.296.17−0.12111
Governance & Integrity7.437.37−0.06416
Financial Strength6.095.97−0.12323 → 25
Production & Innovation6.826.69−0.12715 → 16
Trade & Investment6.846.65−0.19614

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2000: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 121. Maintenance 103. Spent 18 on actions (buy 18). 0 carried over. 6 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuyAgriculture & Food Infrastructure6 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyLand Power6 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyForce Generation & Mobilisation6 credits for 0.36 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −18.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 7; Financial Strength Tier 23 to 25; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16.

The groups that moved most in 2000, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Land Power+0.33+0.390.00−0.05−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.270.000.00−0.22−0.05
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.270.000.00−0.22−0.04
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure+0.26+0.330.00−0.04−0.03
Force Generation & Mobilisation+0.25+0.350.00−0.05−0.05
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.230.000.00−0.22−0.02