Round 12 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-zwe

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 2 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Global funding seizure and Legitimacy rupture and Severe pandemic, and the index −1.449 to 4.12.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.12 (−1.448)
In: 5.57
Rank by index
136
In: 110
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.191.24−0.95412 → 16
Strategic Infrastructure7.356.43−0.9168 → 9
National Security4.533.67−0.8649 → 10
Human Capital8.127.33−0.78913
Information & Influence5.113.50−1.61113 → 17
Governance & Integrity6.945.67−1.27218 → 19
Financial Strength4.841.96−2.87225 → 39
Production & Innovation5.794.06−1.73318 → 20
Trade & Investment5.273.25−2.02617 → 20

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 103. Maintenance 84. Spent 19 on actions (build 19). 0 carried over.

  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure5 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildLand Power5 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation5 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity4 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −46.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −39.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −17.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 16; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9; National Security Tier 9 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 13 to 17; Governance & Integrity Tier 18 to 19; Financial Strength Tier 25 to 39; Production & Innovation Tier 18 to 20; Trade & Investment Tier 17 to 20.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−3.730.000.00−3.73−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection−3.290.000.00−3.28−0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−3.020.000.00−3.640.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−2.850.000.00−2.850.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity−2.820.000.00−2.81−0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−2.810.000.00−2.810.00