Round 24 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-zwe

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 2 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.373 to 1.94.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
1.94 (−0.373)
In: 2.31
Rank by index
191
In: 182
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology0.510.23−0.27923 → 30
Strategic Infrastructure3.703.39−0.31111
National Security1.921.67−0.24513 → 14
Human Capital5.525.04−0.48016
Information & Influence1.400.99−0.41024 → 25
Governance & Integrity4.213.86−0.34821
Financial Strength0.500.26−0.23948
Production & Innovation1.961.39−0.57629 → 31
Trade & Investment1.060.59−0.47326 → 27

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 11. Maintenance 11 of the 29 needed, so 61 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.

  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −30.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 23 to 30; National Security Tier 13 to 14; Information & Influence Tier 24 to 25; Production & Innovation Tier 29 to 31; Trade & Investment Tier 26 to 27.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.010.00−0.05−0.95−0.01
Labour & Employment−0.980.00−0.03−0.89−0.07
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.800.00−0.02−1.05−0.01
Foundational Education−0.700.00−0.08−0.60−0.02
Health System Capability−0.680.00−0.06−0.61−0.02
Global Value Chain Position−0.670.00−0.05−0.53−0.09