Round 6 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-zwe

Round 2002

Round 6 of 30 in simulation 29 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 1 action, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.738 to 5.58.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2002 (the end of 2001) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.58 (−0.738)
In: 6.32
Rank by index
110
In: 94
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.662.15−0.50612
Strategic Infrastructure8.357.47−0.8837 → 8
National Security4.974.57−0.4008 → 9
Human Capital8.708.13−0.57612 → 13
Information & Influence6.055.15−0.90111 → 13
Governance & Integrity7.306.80−0.50616 → 18
Financial Strength5.844.81−1.03325 → 26
Production & Innovation6.565.80−0.76316 → 18
Trade & Investment6.465.38−1.07214 → 17

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2002: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 103. Maintenance 99. Spent 4 on actions (build 4). 0 carried over. 3 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure4 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −44.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; National Security Tier 8 to 9; Human Capital Tier 12 to 13; Information & Influence Tier 11 to 13; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 18; Financial Strength Tier 25 to 26; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 18; Trade & Investment Tier 14 to 17.

The groups that moved most in 2002, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.660.000.00−1.61−0.05
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.590.000.00−1.58−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−1.530.000.00−1.52−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.440.000.00−1.42−0.02
Energy Infrastructure−1.310.000.00−1.26−0.05
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−1.290.000.00−1.24−0.04