Round 2019
Round 23 of 30 in simulation 5 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Core disaster and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.875 to 2.35.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 2.35 (−0.875)
- In: 3.22
- Rank by index
- 181
- In: 164
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 0.78 | 0.54 | −0.246 | 18 → 23 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.22 | 3.85 | −1.375 | 9 → 11 |
| National Security | 2.44 | 1.91 | −0.522 | 11 → 13 |
| Human Capital | 6.40 | 5.51 | −0.887 | 14 → 16 |
| Information & Influence | 2.38 | 1.43 | −0.959 | 21 → 24 |
| Governance & Integrity | 4.95 | 4.21 | −0.739 | 19 → 21 |
| Financial Strength | 1.28 | 0.54 | −0.737 | 43 → 45 |
| Production & Innovation | 3.16 | 2.02 | −1.142 | 26 → 29 |
| Trade & Investment | 2.37 | 1.10 | −1.268 | 23 → 26 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2019: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 24. Maintenance 24 of the 42 needed, so 44 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.
- Shock: Core disaster S07. −25.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −41.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 18 to 23; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 9 to 11; National Security Tier 11 to 13; Human Capital Tier 14 to 16; Information & Influence Tier 21 to 24; Governance & Integrity Tier 19 to 21; Financial Strength Tier 43 to 45; Production & Innovation Tier 26 to 29; Trade & Investment Tier 23 to 26.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −2.47 | 0.00 | −0.06 | −2.41 | −0.01 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −2.00 | 0.00 | −0.06 | −1.92 | −0.02 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −2.00 | 0.00 | −0.05 | −1.95 | −0.01 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −1.63 | 0.00 | −0.11 | −1.50 | −0.01 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −1.56 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −1.53 | 0.00 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | −1.53 | 0.00 | −0.08 | −1.44 | −0.01 |