Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 5 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.379 to 1.97.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 1.97 (−0.379)
- In: 2.35
- Rank by index
- 190
- In: 181
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 0.54 | 0.26 | −0.279 | 23 → 28 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 3.85 | 3.53 | −0.318 | 11 |
| National Security | 1.91 | 1.67 | −0.245 | 13 → 14 |
| Human Capital | 5.51 | 5.03 | −0.479 | 16 |
| Information & Influence | 1.43 | 1.02 | −0.407 | 24 → 25 |
| Governance & Integrity | 4.21 | 3.86 | −0.347 | 21 |
| Financial Strength | 0.54 | 0.29 | −0.250 | 45 → 48 |
| Production & Innovation | 2.02 | 1.44 | −0.578 | 29 → 31 |
| Trade & Investment | 1.10 | 0.60 | −0.507 | 26 → 28 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 12. Maintenance 12 of the 29 needed, so 60 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −30.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 23 to 28; National Security Tier 13 to 14; Information & Influence Tier 24 to 25; Financial Strength Tier 45 to 48; Production & Innovation Tier 29 to 31; Trade & Investment Tier 26 to 28.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −1.01 | 0.00 | −0.05 | −0.95 | −0.01 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.99 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −0.89 | −0.07 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.92 | 0.00 | −0.02 | −1.05 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.71 | 0.00 | −0.04 | −0.53 | −0.14 |
| Foundational Education | −0.70 | 0.00 | −0.08 | −0.60 | −0.02 |
| Health System Capability | −0.69 | 0.00 | −0.05 | −0.61 | −0.02 |