Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 4 of Argentina, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic and Debt service reset, and the index −0.451 to 9.81.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 9.81 (−0.451)
- In: 10.26
- Rank by index
- 49
- In: 45
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 236
- In: 242
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.69 | 8.20 | −0.486 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 12.57 | 12.34 | −0.239 | 2 |
| National Security | 7.26 | 7.04 | −0.224 | 6 → 7 |
| Human Capital | 13.76 | 13.33 | −0.436 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 10.33 | 9.69 | −0.644 | 6 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 10.23 | 9.94 | −0.297 | 11 |
| Financial Strength | 9.63 | 9.10 | −0.529 | 16 → 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 10.06 | 9.51 | −0.548 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.84 | 9.18 | −0.658 | 5 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 320, plus 242 carried in. Maintenance 294. Spent 32 on actions (build 32). 236 carried over.
- BuildHealth System Capability6 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
- BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management6 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
- BuildSocial Infrastructure6 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
- BuildSovereign Capital & External Financial Power6 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −33.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +5.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 6 to 7; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 7; Financial Strength Tier 16 to 17; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | +0.03 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.13 | +0.01 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.10 | +0.08 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.89 | +0.08 | 0.00 | −0.96 | −0.01 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.85 | −0.01 |
| Population Health | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.72 | 0.00 |