Round 2015
Round 19 of 30 in simulation 21 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 7 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.111 to 9.25.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2015 (the end of 2014) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 9.25 (−0.111)
- In: 9.36
- Rank by index
- 55
- In: 54
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 383
- In: 351
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.66 | 2.63 | −0.028 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.48 | 11.33 | −0.142 | 4 |
| National Security | 5.92 | 5.85 | −0.062 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 11.12 | 11.11 | −0.006 | 4 |
| Information & Influence | 8.14 | 7.95 | −0.185 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 13.83 | 13.72 | −0.110 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 11.94 | 11.70 | −0.243 | 11 |
| Production & Innovation | 9.46 | 9.39 | −0.066 | 12 → 11 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.74 | 9.59 | −0.159 | 10 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2015: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 255, plus 351 carried in. Maintenance 187. Spent 36 on actions (build 20, partner 15). 383 carried over.
- PartnerStructural Transformation & Complexity5 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position5 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerAdvanced Manufacturing5 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
- BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure5 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAdvanced Education5 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.64 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −10.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.57 | +0.67 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.42 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.38 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.36 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.36 | +0.01 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.33 | +0.01 |