Round 20 · simulation 21 · cycle-003.e4-bwa

Round 2016

Round 20 of 30 in simulation 21 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.085 to 9.34.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2016 (the end of 2015) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.34 (+0.085)
In: 9.25
Rank by index
55
In: 55
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
411
In: 364
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.632.67+0.03412
Strategic Infrastructure11.3311.46+0.1234
National Security5.855.850.0007
Human Capital11.1111.31+0.1974
Information & Influence7.957.99+0.0318
Governance & Integrity13.7213.80+0.0804
Financial Strength11.7011.72+0.02111
Production & Innovation9.399.53+0.14111
Trade & Investment9.599.72+0.13510

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2016: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 251, plus 364 carried in. Maintenance 183. Spent 20 on actions (build 20). 411 carried over.

  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure5 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Education5 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.61 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • Upside event: Market access opening S12. +11.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2016, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.80+0.650.00+0.13+0.02
Advanced Education+0.48+0.390.00+0.06+0.03
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.40+0.330.00+0.06+0.01
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.33+0.260.00+0.060.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.27+0.220.00+0.06−0.01
Advanced Manufacturing+0.26+0.180.00+0.06+0.01