Round 24 · simulation 15 · cycle-003.e4-deu

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 15 of Germany, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.159 to 17.53.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.53 (−0.159)
In: 17.69
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 8
Credits carried
26
In: 273
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology18.2918.10−0.1941
Strategic Infrastructure18.9618.90−0.0591
National Security13.3313.22−0.1103
Human Capital17.9317.82−0.1091
Information & Influence16.9016.63−0.2631 → 2
Governance & Integrity18.5018.51+0.0051
Financial Strength19.2519.05−0.1921
Production & Innovation18.1517.93−0.2191
Trade & Investment17.9117.61−0.2901

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,978, plus 273 carried in. Maintenance 1,730. Spent 495 on actions (build 495). 26 carried over.

  • BuildHealth System Capability99 credits for 2.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildBiotechnology & Health Technologies99 credits for 0.81 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management99 credits for 0.89 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance99 credits for 0.69 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration99 credits for 0.86 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −13.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.520.000.00−0.520.00
Internal Security & Order+0.49+0.590.00−0.100.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.450.000.00−0.450.00
Labour & Employment−0.360.000.00−0.360.00
Population Health−0.290.000.00−0.290.00
Foundational Education−0.290.000.00−0.290.00