Round 12 · simulation 29 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 29 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.225 to 5.04.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.04 (−0.226)
In: 5.27
Rank by index
118
In: 113
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
70
In: 58
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.292.23−0.05912
Strategic Infrastructure5.675.42−0.2519 → 10
National Security4.964.84−0.1158
Human Capital6.276.07−0.20014
Information & Influence5.925.61−0.31612
Governance & Integrity6.666.45−0.21318
Financial Strength5.655.30−0.34825
Production & Innovation4.934.71−0.22119
Trade & Investment5.054.75−0.30617 → 18

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 111, plus 58 carried in. Maintenance 88. Spent 11 on actions (build 11). 70 carried over.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure2 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills2 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −15.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 17 to 18.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.550.000.00−0.55−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.500.000.00−0.50−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.500.000.00−0.51+0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.500.000.00−0.490.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.45+0.030.00−0.47−0.01
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure−0.42+0.120.00−0.56+0.02