Round 23 · simulation 29 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2019

Round 23 of 30 in simulation 29 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.009 to 4.59.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.59 (+0.009)
In: 4.58
Rank by index
129
In: 129
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
35
In: 28
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.052.04−0.00312
Strategic Infrastructure5.225.24+0.0169
National Security4.474.46−0.0098
Human Capital5.545.53−0.01215 → 16
Information & Influence4.794.78−0.00614
Governance & Integrity6.056.05+0.00119
Financial Strength4.404.40+0.00129
Production & Innovation4.454.47+0.01920 → 19
Trade & Investment4.234.30+0.07317

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2019: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 91, plus 28 carried in. Maintenance 75. Spent 9 on actions (partner 9). 35 carried over.

  • PartnerIndustrial & Sectoral Base2 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics2 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication2 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 15 to 16; Production & Innovation Tier 20 to 19.

The groups that moved most in 2019, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.26+0.240.000.00+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.26+0.230.000.00+0.03
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.14+0.130.000.000.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.14+0.140.000.00−0.01
Transport Infrastructure+0.10+0.110.000.00−0.02
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.04+0.050.000.00−0.01