Round 28 · simulation 29 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2024

Round 28 of 30 in simulation 29 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.031 to 4.23.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2024 (the end of 2023) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.23 (+0.030)
In: 4.20
Rank by index
136
In: 136
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
27
In: 11
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.911.92+0.01512
Strategic Infrastructure4.784.80+0.03010
National Security3.973.96−0.0069
Human Capital5.355.41+0.05916
Information & Influence4.424.43+0.00814
Governance & Integrity5.785.85+0.07819
Financial Strength3.883.93+0.05831
Production & Innovation4.034.05+0.02120
Trade & Investment3.733.75+0.01518

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2024: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 91, plus 11 carried in. Maintenance 67. Spent 9 on actions (partner 9). 27 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Infrastructure2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerDigital & AI Competence2 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history

Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2024, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
National Resilience & Crisis Management+0.25+0.220.00+0.030.00
Population Health+0.19+0.170.00+0.02−0.01
Internal Security & Order+0.17+0.150.00+0.03−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.17+0.130.00+0.040.00
Health System Capability+0.15+0.130.00+0.04−0.02
Energy Infrastructure+0.13+0.080.00+0.06−0.01