Round 16 · simulation 3 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2012

Round 16 of 30 in simulation 3 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.008 to 4.80.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2012 (the end of 2011) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.80 (+0.008)
In: 4.79
Rank by index
122
In: 122
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
42
In: 48
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.152.15−0.00312
Strategic Infrastructure5.235.29+0.06610
National Security4.714.70−0.0068
Human Capital5.875.87+0.00815
Information & Influence5.225.21−0.00812
Governance & Integrity6.226.23+0.01318
Financial Strength4.884.86−0.02227
Production & Innovation4.474.51+0.04120
Trade & Investment4.394.38−0.01318 → 19

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2012: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 99, plus 48 carried in. Maintenance 79. Spent 26 on actions (build 26). 42 carried over.

  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure5 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure5 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure5 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base5 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration5 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 18 to 19.

The groups that moved most in 2012, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.33+0.330.000.000.00
Energy Infrastructure+0.24+0.250.000.00−0.01
Transport Infrastructure+0.21+0.230.000.00−0.02
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+0.18+0.190.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.16+0.170.000.000.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.16+0.170.000.00−0.01