Round 18 · simulation 3 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2014

Round 18 of 30 in simulation 3 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.011 to 4.82.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2014 (the end of 2013) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.82 (+0.012)
In: 4.81
Rank by index
122
In: 122
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
28
In: 33
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.142.14−0.00312
Strategic Infrastructure5.365.42+0.0629
National Security4.694.69−0.0078
Human Capital5.885.87−0.00515 → 14
Information & Influence5.205.19−0.00912
Governance & Integrity6.256.28+0.02818
Financial Strength4.854.85−0.00427
Production & Innovation4.554.59+0.04320
Trade & Investment4.374.36−0.00419

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2014: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 99, plus 33 carried in. Maintenance 80. Spent 25 on actions (build 25). 28 carried over.

  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure5 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure5 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure5 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base5 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration5 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 15 to 14.

The groups that moved most in 2014, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.32+0.310.000.000.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.27+0.280.000.00−0.01
Energy Infrastructure+0.24+0.250.000.00−0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+0.23+0.250.000.00−0.01
Transport Infrastructure+0.21+0.230.000.00−0.02
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.05+0.050.000.000.00