Round 26 · simulation 3 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 3 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.014 to 4.18.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.18 (+0.014)
In: 4.17
Rank by index
136
In: 136
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
3
In: 9
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.881.89+0.01312
Strategic Infrastructure4.764.77+0.01410
National Security4.004.01+0.0039
Human Capital5.245.28+0.03416
Information & Influence4.404.39−0.00514
Governance & Integrity5.675.73+0.05519
Financial Strength3.823.83+0.01031
Production & Innovation4.024.020.00020
Trade & Investment3.723.72+0.00118

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 81, plus 9 carried in. Maintenance 67. Spent 20 on actions (build 20). 3 carried over.

  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health4 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildLand Power4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInternal Security & Order4 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +5.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Population Health+0.18+0.170.00+0.01−0.01
National Resilience & Crisis Management+0.17+0.160.00+0.020.00
Internal Security & Order+0.15+0.150.00+0.02−0.03
Health System Capability+0.13+0.140.00+0.01−0.01
Land Power+0.10+0.120.000.00−0.02
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.06+0.050.00+0.02−0.01