Round 2 · simulation 5 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 1998

Round 2 of 30 in simulation 5 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.302 to 5.66.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 1998 (the end of 1997) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.66 (−0.302)
In: 5.96
Rank by index
108
In: 97
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.482.40−0.07712
Strategic Infrastructure6.556.13−0.4249
National Security5.244.90−0.3338
Human Capital6.646.52−0.12413 → 14
Information & Influence6.706.52−0.18611
Governance & Integrity7.307.02−0.27616
Financial Strength6.816.34−0.46222 → 23
Production & Innovation5.705.38−0.31218 → 19
Trade & Investment6.255.72−0.52515 → 16

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 1998: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 129. Maintenance 102. Spent 27 on actions (build 27). 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuildLand Power6 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildForce Generation & Mobilisation6 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAir Power6 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIntelligence & Assessment6 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInternal Security & Order1 credits for 0.06 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −21.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 13 to 14; Financial Strength Tier 22 to 23; Production & Innovation Tier 18 to 19; Trade & Investment Tier 15 to 16.

The groups that moved most in 1998, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.910.000.00−0.910.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.840.000.00−0.840.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.730.000.00−0.730.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.730.000.00−0.730.00
Transport Infrastructure−0.720.000.00−0.720.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.540.000.00−0.540.00