Round 2011
Round 15 of 30 in simulation 5 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.257 to 4.80.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 4.80 (−0.258)
- In: 5.05
- Rank by index
- 122
- In: 117
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 50
- In: 55
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.22 | 2.15 | −0.070 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.53 | 5.24 | −0.293 | 10 |
| National Security | 4.84 | 4.70 | −0.141 | 8 |
| Human Capital | 6.12 | 5.87 | −0.249 | 14 → 15 |
| Information & Influence | 5.59 | 5.23 | −0.360 | 12 |
| Governance & Integrity | 6.44 | 6.21 | −0.233 | 18 |
| Financial Strength | 5.30 | 4.91 | −0.394 | 25 |
| Production & Innovation | 4.70 | 4.48 | −0.227 | 19 → 20 |
| Trade & Investment | 4.74 | 4.39 | −0.348 | 18 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 105, plus 55 carried in. Maintenance 84. Spent 26 on actions (build 26). 50 carried over.
- BuildEnergy Infrastructure5 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTransport Infrastructure5 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
- BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure5 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
- BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base5 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
- BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration5 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −18.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 14 to 15; Production & Innovation Tier 19 to 20.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.60 | −0.01 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.60 | +0.07 | 0.00 | −0.66 | −0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.57 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.55 | −0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.54 | 0.00 |
| Early Childhood Development | −0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.44 | −0.01 |