Round 25 · simulation 5 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2021

Round 25 of 30 in simulation 5 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.006 to 4.17.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2021 (the end of 2020) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.17 (+0.005)
In: 4.17
Rank by index
136
In: 136
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
9
In: 17
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.881.88−0.00212
Strategic Infrastructure4.754.77+0.01811
National Security3.983.98+0.0069
Human Capital5.235.25+0.01516
Information & Influence4.424.41−0.01014
Governance & Integrity5.645.66+0.02019
Financial Strength3.883.86−0.02131
Production & Innovation4.024.03+0.00320
Trade & Investment3.713.73+0.02118

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2021: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 82, plus 17 carried in. Maintenance 67. Spent 23 on actions (build 23). 9 carried over.

  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management5 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability5 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health5 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildLand Power5 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInternal Security & Order5 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
The groups that moved most in 2021, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.15+0.120.000.00+0.03
Population Health+0.12+0.120.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.11+0.120.000.000.00
Internal Security & Order+0.10+0.110.000.000.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.09+0.100.000.000.00
National Resilience & Crisis Management+0.09+0.110.000.00−0.02