Round 24 · simulation 10 · cycle-003.e4-irl

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 10 of Ireland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Trade bloc rupture and Severe pandemic, and the index −0.573 to 12.12.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.12 (−0.573)
In: 12.70
Rank by index
28
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 6
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.407.74−0.6636
Strategic Infrastructure13.7813.47−0.3031
National Security6.496.25−0.2477
Human Capital14.2713.84−0.4331
Information & Influence12.7611.97−0.7871 → 2
Governance & Integrity14.2813.88−0.3935
Financial Strength15.6814.99−0.6861
Production & Innovation14.4013.71−0.6871
Trade & Investment14.2013.24−0.9601

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 489. Maintenance 489 of the 499 needed, so 2 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.

  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −32.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −28.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.330.00−0.01−1.320.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.330.00−0.01−1.33+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.160.00−0.01−1.150.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.020.00−0.01−1.03+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication−1.000.00−0.01−0.99+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.970.00−0.01−0.970.00