Round 1997
Round 1 of 30 in simulation 17 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.196 to 7.12.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 1997 (the end of 1996) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.12 (−0.196)
- In: 7.31
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 77
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 22
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.92 | 2.88 | −0.044 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 8.52 | 8.26 | −0.261 | 7 |
| National Security | 5.60 | 5.52 | −0.082 | 8 |
| Human Capital | 8.24 | 8.05 | −0.184 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.20 | 7.93 | −0.263 | 8 → 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.00 | 7.86 | −0.143 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 8.47 | 8.19 | −0.282 | 19 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.46 | 7.26 | −0.199 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.42 | 8.12 | −0.307 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 1997: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 172. Maintenance 132. Spent 17 on actions (partner 17). 22 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance3 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerFinancial System Depth & Access3 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerTransport Infrastructure3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration3 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerAgriculture & Food Infrastructure3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −13.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 9.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.57 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.51 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.48 | 0.00 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.43 | +0.06 | 0.00 | −0.49 | 0.00 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.43 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.39 | +0.10 | 0.00 | −0.48 | 0.00 |