Round 24 · simulation 16 · cycle-003.e4-mex

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 16 of Mexico, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.544 to 8.56.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.56 (−0.544)
In: 9.10
Rank by index
62
In: 56
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
374
In: 399
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.864.43−0.4238 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure11.5811.36−0.2233
National Security6.666.40−0.2607
Human Capital10.5710.10−0.4777 → 9
Information & Influence9.799.03−0.7627
Governance & Integrity9.799.42−0.37712 → 13
Financial Strength9.448.67−0.77117
Production & Innovation8.878.19−0.68013 → 14
Trade & Investment10.349.41−0.9269 → 10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 222, plus 399 carried in. Maintenance 191. Spent 56 on actions (build 56). 374 carried over.

  • BuildSocial Infrastructure11 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health11 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure11 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure11 credits for 0.36 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInternal Security & Order11 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −33.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 9; Human Capital Tier 7 to 9; Governance & Integrity Tier 12 to 13; Production & Innovation Tier 13 to 14; Trade & Investment Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.440.000.00−1.430.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.200.000.00−1.19−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.140.000.00−1.140.00
Global Value Chain Position−0.940.000.00−0.92−0.01
Labour & Employment−0.920.000.00−0.91−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.890.000.00−0.890.00