Round 12 · simulation 21 · cycle-003.e4-nga

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 21 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.251 to 7.76.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.76 (−0.251)
In: 8.01
Rank by index
71
In: 69
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
13
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.853.76−0.09310
Strategic Infrastructure9.168.91−0.2505 → 6
National Security6.896.75−0.1336
Human Capital8.097.86−0.23012
Information & Influence9.919.56−0.3497
Governance & Integrity8.418.34−0.06513
Financial Strength9.689.27−0.40816
Production & Innovation7.777.47−0.29414 → 15
Trade & Investment8.357.92−0.43712

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 232. Maintenance 161. Spent 58 on actions (build 58). 13 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order12 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure12 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation12 credits for 0.65 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure12 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure12 credits for 0.46 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −22.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 6; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.770.000.00−0.79+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.760.000.00−0.78+0.02
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.730.000.00−0.74+0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.590.000.00−0.60+0.01
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure−0.56+0.120.00−0.69+0.01
Early Childhood Development−0.460.000.00−0.460.00