Round 2009
Round 13 of 30 in simulation 21 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.087 to 7.67.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2009 (the end of 2008) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.67 (−0.087)
- In: 7.76
- Rank by index
- 72
- In: 71
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 24
- In: 12
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.76 | 3.72 | −0.044 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 8.91 | 8.88 | −0.025 | 6 |
| National Security | 6.75 | 6.57 | −0.180 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 7.86 | 7.85 | −0.011 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 9.56 | 9.52 | −0.042 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.34 | 8.41 | +0.067 | 13 |
| Financial Strength | 9.27 | 9.10 | −0.166 | 16 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.47 | 7.34 | −0.135 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.92 | 7.67 | −0.243 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2009: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 223, plus 12 carried in. Maintenance 154. Spent 58 on actions (build 58). 24 carried over.
- BuildInternal Security & Order12 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
- BuildEnergy Infrastructure12 credits for 0.51 levelsscripted_history
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation12 credits for 0.64 levelsscripted_history
- BuildResource Infrastructure12 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure12 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −10.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.43 | −0.02 |
| Energy Infrastructure | +0.44 | +0.66 | 0.00 | −0.23 | +0.01 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.42 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.37 | −0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.35 | +0.02 |
| Political Institutions & Civic Participation | +0.32 | +0.39 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |