Round 2021
Round 25 of 30 in simulation 9 of Poland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.118 to 10.00.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2021 (the end of 2020) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 10.00 (−0.119)
- In: 10.12
- Rank by index
- 46
- In: 45
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 267
- In: 243
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.37 | 6.33 | −0.046 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 12.27 | 12.09 | −0.184 | 3 → 4 |
| National Security | 8.12 | 7.91 | −0.209 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 12.02 | 12.09 | +0.074 | 5 |
| Information & Influence | 9.56 | 9.25 | −0.309 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 10.99 | 10.85 | −0.150 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 10.21 | 10.21 | +0.002 | 12 |
| Production & Innovation | 10.52 | 10.42 | −0.096 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.04 | 10.89 | −0.147 | 6 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2021: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 294, plus 243 carried in. Maintenance 239. Spent 31 on actions (build 31). 267 carried over.
- BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management6 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
- BuildHealth System Capability6 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
- BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
- BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.56 levelsscripted_history
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −10.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.49 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.49 | 0.00 |
| Population Health | +0.46 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.45 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.42 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.39 | 0.00 |