Round 26 · simulation 9 · cycle-003.e4-pol

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 9 of Poland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.341 to 9.66.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.66 (−0.341)
In: 10.00
Rank by index
49
In: 46
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
240
In: 254
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.336.37+0.0397 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure12.0911.61−0.4854
National Security7.917.52−0.3876
Human Capital12.0911.99−0.0995
Information & Influence9.259.02−0.2287
Governance & Integrity10.8510.58−0.26710
Financial Strength10.219.69−0.52012 → 15
Production & Innovation10.429.98−0.4366
Trade & Investment10.8910.20−0.6877 → 8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 294, plus 254 carried in. Maintenance 234. Spent 73 on actions (build 15, buy 59). 240 carried over.

  • BuyForce Generation & Mobilisation15 credits for 0.65 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyAir Power15 credits for 0.74 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyEnergy Infrastructure15 credits for 0.62 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies15 credits for 1.83 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management15 credits for 0.73 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −28.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 12 to 15; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+2.05+2.200.00−0.16+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.030.000.00−1.02−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.010.000.00−0.99−0.02
Resource Infrastructure−0.920.000.00−0.91−0.01
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.880.000.00−0.87−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.81+0.170.00−0.95−0.03