Round 15 · simulation 1 · cycle-003.e4-sau

Round 2011

Round 15 of 30 in simulation 1 of Saudi Arabia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 2 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.166 to 11.02.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.02 (−0.165)
In: 11.18
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.825.74−0.0768
Strategic Infrastructure13.4313.32−0.1061
National Security11.3511.11−0.2422
Human Capital11.0010.95−0.0456
Information & Influence12.4112.13−0.2766
Governance & Integrity9.098.91−0.1749 → 10
Financial Strength14.2713.97−0.3071
Production & Innovation10.049.93−0.1118 → 9
Trade & Investment13.2313.08−0.1531

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 477. Maintenance 467. Spent 11 on actions (build 11). 0 carried over. 3 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuildAdvanced Education10 credits for 0.62 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation1 credits for 0.06 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −11.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2011, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.490.000.00−0.49−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.490.000.00−0.490.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.480.000.00−0.480.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.400.000.00−0.400.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.300.000.00−0.300.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.280.000.00−0.280.00