Round 23 · simulation 1 · cycle-003.e4-sau

Round 2019

Round 23 of 30 in simulation 1 of Saudi Arabia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.191 to 10.70.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.70 (−0.191)
In: 10.89
Rank by index
39
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.555.41−0.1478
Strategic Infrastructure13.0612.57−0.4912
National Security10.6110.10−0.5172
Human Capital11.3711.40+0.0275
Information & Influence11.8511.28−0.5726
Governance & Integrity8.588.29−0.29611 → 13
Financial Strength13.6313.77+0.1425 → 3
Production & Innovation9.789.74−0.0479 → 6
Trade & Investment13.5613.74+0.1802

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2019: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 462. Maintenance 361. Spent 101 on actions (partner 101). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerIndustrial & Sectoral Base23 credits for 0.98 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerSovereign Capital & External Financial Power23 credits for 0.85 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection23 credits for 1.41 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade23 credits for 1.40 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation9 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −20.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 11 to 13; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 9 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2019, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & Services Trade+1.22+1.480.00−0.28+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.20+1.480.00−0.28−0.01
Intelligence & Assessment−0.960.000.00−0.96−0.01
Maritime Power−0.930.000.00−0.92−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation−0.900.000.00−0.88−0.01
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+0.88+0.880.000.000.00