Simulations
All 30 simulations of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996, one per seed, at 2026. The representative simulations link to their own pages, told round by round.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1 · The experiment
Every simulation
One row per seed, at the horizon. Select a heading to sort.
Simulation | Index | Change | Rank | Tier rank | Tier 1 | Shocks | Upsides | Most funded group |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 6.90 | −2.75 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 22 | 6.90 | −2.75 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 18 | 6.90 | −2.75 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 20A good simulation (90th percentile) | 6.89 | −2.76 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 23 | 6.89 | −2.76 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 13 | 6.89 | −2.76 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 1 | 6.89 | −2.76 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 17 | 6.89 | −2.76 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 5 | 6.89 | −2.76 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 9 | 6.89 | −2.77 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 27 | 6.89 | −2.77 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 21 | 6.88 | −2.77 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 11 | 6.88 | −2.77 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 12 | 6.88 | −2.77 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 6 | 6.88 | −2.77 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 8 | 6.88 | −2.77 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 30Median simulation | 6.88 | −2.77 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 3 | 6.88 | −2.77 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 7 | 6.88 | −2.77 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 2 | 6.87 | −2.78 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 10 | 6.87 | −2.78 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 4 | 6.87 | −2.78 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 14 | 6.87 | −2.78 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 19 | 6.87 | −2.78 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 16 | 6.87 | −2.78 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 24 | 6.87 | −2.78 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 29A poor simulation (10th percentile) | 6.87 | −2.78 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 25 | 6.87 | −2.78 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 28 | 6.87 | −2.78 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |
| 15 | 6.86 | −2.80 | 83 | 56 | 0 | 10 | 2 | Government Effectiveness & Public Administration (13 per cent) |