Round 2014
Round 18 of 30 in simulation 29 of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and Legitimacy rupture and Global funding seizure, and the index −0.913 to 8.37.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2014 (the end of 2013) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 8.37 (−0.913)
- In: 9.28
- Rank by index
- 64
- In: 54
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 482
- In: 497
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.62 | 8.05 | −0.567 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.87 | 10.90 | −0.975 | 4 |
| National Security | 9.88 | 8.94 | −0.939 | 4 |
| Human Capital | 11.66 | 11.21 | −0.447 | 5 → 6 |
| Information & Influence | 7.57 | 6.83 | −0.740 | 9 → 11 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.85 | 8.11 | −0.742 | 13 → 14 |
| Financial Strength | 7.37 | 5.90 | −1.469 | 19 → 23 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.60 | 7.60 | −0.992 | 10 → 13 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.09 | 7.74 | −1.348 | 10 → 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2014: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 309, plus 497 carried in. Maintenance 248. Spent 77 on actions (partner 77). 482 carried over.
- PartnerLand Power16 credits for 0.60 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation16 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerIntelligence & Assessment16 credits for 0.99 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption16 credits for 0.77 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration16 credits for 0.56 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −28.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −19.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −18.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 5 to 6; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 11; Governance & Integrity Tier 13 to 14; Financial Strength Tier 19 to 23; Production & Innovation Tier 10 to 13; Trade & Investment Tier 10 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −2.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.13 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.75 | +0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.74 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.68 | +0.01 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.44 | 0.00 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.38 | 0.00 |