Round 29 · simulation 29 · cycle-003.e4-ukr

Round 2025

Round 29 of 30 in simulation 29 of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.013 to 6.86.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2025 (the end of 2024) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.86 (+0.014)
In: 6.84
Rank by index
83
In: 83
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
230
In: 229
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.676.65−0.0286
Strategic Infrastructure8.218.15−0.0656
National Security7.858.04+0.1895
Human Capital10.2410.24−0.0069
Information & Influence5.155.14−0.00913
Governance & Integrity7.647.74+0.09213
Financial Strength4.464.47+0.01031 → 28
Production & Innovation5.855.82−0.02815
Trade & Investment5.505.46−0.03613

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2025: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 216, plus 229 carried in. Maintenance 159. Spent 56 on actions (partner 56). 230 carried over.

  • PartnerLand Power11 credits for 0.42 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerAir Power11 credits for 0.59 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCyber & Electromagnetic Operations11 credits for 0.68 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerJoint Command, Projection & Sustainment11 credits for 0.63 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management11 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history

Earlier events still landing: +0.8 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 31 to 28.

The groups that moved most in 2025, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations+0.66+0.740.000.00−0.07
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment+0.63+0.670.000.00−0.04
National Resilience & Crisis Management+0.63+0.620.00+0.01−0.01
Air Power+0.58+0.640.000.00−0.06
Land Power+0.37+0.450.000.00−0.08
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.130.000.000.00−0.13