Round 8 · simulation 30 · cycle-003.e4-ukr

Round 2004

Round 8 of 30 in simulation 30 of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.136 to 9.42.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2004 (the end of 2003) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.42 (−0.136)
In: 9.56
Rank by index
52
In: 51
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
324
In: 269
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.938.83−0.1025
Strategic Infrastructure11.8711.79−0.0814
National Security10.189.94−0.2434
Human Capital11.8611.79−0.0635
Information & Influence8.017.77−0.2348 → 9
Governance & Integrity8.908.73−0.16913
Financial Strength8.348.06−0.27718 → 19
Production & Innovation8.898.84−0.05112
Trade & Investment9.049.03−0.00811

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2004: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 340, plus 269 carried in. Maintenance 258. Spent 27 on actions (build 27). 324 carried over.

  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base7 credits for 0.36 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure7 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −11.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 18 to 19.

The groups that moved most in 2004, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.450.000.00−0.450.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.440.000.00−0.44+0.01
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.420.000.00−0.49+0.06
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.400.000.00−0.400.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.37+0.490.00−0.120.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.30+0.440.00−0.130.00