Round 21 · simulation 28 · cycle-003.e4-ven

Round 2017

Round 21 of 30 in simulation 28 of Venezuela, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.408 to 9.48.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2017 (the end of 2016) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.48 (−0.408)
In: 9.89
Rank by index
52
In: 49
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
13
In: 6
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.336.13−0.2036
Strategic Infrastructure11.8711.58−0.2882 → 3
National Security7.787.78−0.0037
Human Capital13.1412.97−0.1761
Information & Influence11.9411.64−0.2962
Governance & Integrity10.3710.15−0.22012
Financial Strength8.797.82−0.97211 → 12
Production & Innovation9.008.28−0.72412 → 13
Trade & Investment9.799.00−0.79010 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2017: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 294, plus 6 carried in. Maintenance 257. Spent 29 on actions (build 29). 13 carried over.

  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management6 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure6 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInternal Security & Order6 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration6 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −27.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 11 to 12; Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 13; Trade & Investment Tier 10 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2017, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−1.380.000.00−1.370.00
Economic Output & Productivity−1.230.000.00−1.21−0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity−1.140.000.00−1.140.00
Financial System Depth & Access−1.100.000.00−1.100.00
Labour & Employment−1.100.000.00−1.100.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−1.100.000.00−1.090.00