Round 15 · simulation 2 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 2011

Round 15 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.045 to 12.12.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.

Capability index: 12.12 (+0.045); In: 12.07
Rank by index: 28; In: 29
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 610; In: 547

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	7.82	7.82	+0.004	7
Strategic Infrastructure	14.37	14.49	+0.127	2
National Security	9.41	9.40	−0.004	5 → 4
Human Capital	11.58	11.60	+0.017	6
Information & Influence	11.70	11.69	−0.003	5
Governance & Integrity	12.75	12.76	+0.001	8
Financial Strength	15.70	15.70	+0.001	2
Production & Innovation	12.16	12.23	+0.074	2
Trade & Investment	13.19	13.38	+0.190	2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 451, plus 547 carried in. Maintenance 352. Spent 36 on actions (build 36). 610 carried over.

BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base9 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
BuildExport Capability & Sophistication9 credits for 0.59 levelsscripted_history
BuildAdvanced Manufacturing9 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics9 credits for 0.54 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. National Security Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2011, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Export Capability & Sophistication	+0.66	+0.60	+0.06
Trade Facilitation & Logistics	+0.64	+0.55	+0.09
Communications & Digital Infrastructure	+0.47	+0.47	−0.01
Industrial & Sectoral Base	+0.41	+0.39	+0.03
Transport Infrastructure	+0.35	+0.37	−0.02
Energy Infrastructure	+0.35	+0.37	−0.01