Round 16 · simulation 2 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 2012

Round 16 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.036 to 12.15.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2012 (the end of 2011) and as it left it.

Capability index: 12.15 (+0.036); In: 12.12
Rank by index: 28; In: 28
Domains at Tier 1: 1; In: 0
Credits carried: 630; In: 580

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	7.82	7.83	+0.005	7
Strategic Infrastructure	14.49	14.57	+0.071	2
National Security	9.40	9.40	−0.004	4
Human Capital	11.60	11.61	+0.016	6
Information & Influence	11.69	11.69	−0.003	5
Governance & Integrity	12.76	12.76	+0.001	8
Financial Strength	15.70	15.71	+0.004	2
Production & Innovation	12.23	12.28	+0.044	2 → 1
Trade & Investment	13.38	13.57	+0.191	2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2012: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 452, plus 580 carried in. Maintenance 365. Spent 36 on actions (build 36). 630 carried over.

BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base9 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
BuildExport Capability & Sophistication9 credits for 0.57 levelsscripted_history
BuildAdvanced Manufacturing9 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics9 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2012, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Export Capability & Sophistication	+0.65	+0.58	+0.07
Trade Facilitation & Logistics	+0.62	+0.53	+0.09
Advanced Manufacturing	+0.26	+0.23	+0.03
Communications & Digital Infrastructure	+0.22	+0.23	−0.01
Industrial & Sectoral Base	+0.19	+0.16	+0.03
Energy Infrastructure	+0.17	+0.18	−0.01