Round 18 · simulation 2 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 2014

Round 18 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.029 to 12.21.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2014 (the end of 2013) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.21 (+0.029)
In: 12.18
Rank by index
27
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
647
In: 609
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.837.84+0.0067
Strategic Infrastructure14.5914.62+0.0322
National Security9.399.390.0004
Human Capital11.6211.64+0.0126
Information & Influence11.6911.69−0.0025
Governance & Integrity12.7612.76+0.0018
Financial Strength15.7115.72+0.0052
Production & Innovation12.3112.35+0.0351
Trade & Investment13.7513.92+0.1722

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2014: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 452, plus 609 carried in. Maintenance 378. Spent 36 on actions (build 36). 647 carried over.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base9 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildExport Capability & Sophistication9 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Manufacturing9 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics9 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
The groups that moved most in 2014, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.59+0.540.000.00+0.04
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.56+0.490.000.00+0.07
Advanced Manufacturing+0.33+0.300.000.00+0.03
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.15+0.110.000.00+0.05
Digital & AI Competence+0.050.000.000.00+0.05
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.040.000.000.00+0.04