Round 17 · simulation 2 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 2013

Round 17 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.028 to 12.18.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2013 (the end of 2012) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.18 (+0.029)
In: 12.15
Rank by index
27
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
641
In: 599
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.837.83+0.0057
Strategic Infrastructure14.5714.59+0.0192
National Security9.409.39−0.0054
Human Capital11.6111.62+0.0136
Information & Influence11.6911.69−0.0025
Governance & Integrity12.7612.760.0008
Financial Strength15.7115.71+0.0052
Production & Innovation12.2812.31+0.0391
Trade & Investment13.5713.75+0.1812

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2013: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 452, plus 599 carried in. Maintenance 373. Spent 36 on actions (build 36). 641 carried over.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base9 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildExport Capability & Sophistication9 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Manufacturing9 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics9 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
The groups that moved most in 2013, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.62+0.560.000.00+0.06
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.59+0.510.000.00+0.08
Advanced Manufacturing+0.33+0.300.000.00+0.03
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.16+0.120.000.00+0.03
Digital & AI Competence+0.060.000.000.00+0.06
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.050.000.000.00+0.05