Round 24 · simulation 26 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 26 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.326 to 11.90.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.90 (−0.327)
In: 12.23
Rank by index
30
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
650
In: 615
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.107.75−0.3495
Strategic Infrastructure14.9814.85−0.1322
National Security9.349.17−0.1754 → 5
Human Capital11.6211.31−0.3106
Information & Influence11.5511.10−0.4506
Governance & Integrity12.6712.44−0.2328
Financial Strength15.6015.21−0.3922
Production & Innovation12.2911.88−0.4171
Trade & Investment13.9213.44−0.4813

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 449, plus 615 carried in. Maintenance 391. Spent 22 on actions (partner 22). 650 carried over.

  • PartnerDigital & AI Competence5 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure5 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption5 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerFinancial Stability & Crisis Management5 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration5 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −23.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.800.000.00−0.80−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.770.000.00−0.770.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.770.000.00−0.770.00
Labour & Employment−0.750.000.00−0.750.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.670.000.00−0.670.00
Health System Capability−0.470.000.00−0.470.00