Round 26 · simulation 26 · cycle-003.e4-zaf

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 26 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.131 to 11.78.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.78 (−0.131)
In: 11.91
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
688
In: 637
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.757.74−0.0185
Strategic Infrastructure14.8714.67−0.2042
National Security9.179.09−0.0825
Human Capital11.3411.25−0.0896
Information & Influence11.0911.00−0.0936
Governance & Integrity12.4712.39−0.0748 → 9
Financial Strength15.2215.03−0.1882 → 3
Production & Innovation11.8711.68−0.1961
Trade & Investment13.4213.19−0.2313 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 437, plus 637 carried in. Maintenance 363. Spent 22 on actions (partner 22). 688 carried over.

  • PartnerDigital & AI Competence4 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerFinancial Stability & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −9.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 8 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.370.000.00−0.36−0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.360.000.00−0.35−0.01
Social Infrastructure−0.350.000.00−0.33−0.03
Financial System Depth & Access−0.340.000.00−0.330.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.310.000.00−0.30−0.01
Transport Infrastructure−0.290.000.00−0.28−0.01